Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Western Athletic Conference · America First Events Center · January 26, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -4.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money SUU +160 / CBU -190
Model Predictions
Spread Total SUU win
Actual CBU +16 136 Lost
Massey CBU -1.6 (-14.4)
Massey Totals 145.4 (-9.4)
Bradley-Terry 47%
Weighted B-T 48%
Efficiency Plus ML CBU -2.8 (-13.2) 138.8 (-2.8) 37%
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -1.4 (-14.6) 139.8 (-3.8) 43%
Baseline ML CBU -1.4 (-14.6) 139.3 (-3.3) 38%
Baseline Plus ML CBU -2.0 (-14.0) 140.5 (-4.5) 39%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 CBU 8275 SUU
Feb 13, 2026 CBU 8366 SUU
Jan 11, 2026 CBU 5855 SUU
Feb 7, 2025 SUU 6057 CBU
Jan 21, 2024 CBU 8376 SUU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SUU CBU
Overall 12-19 17-15
Conference 4-12 9-7
Home 8-7 11-5
Away 3-11 4-8
Neutral 1-1 2-2
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 66.8 71.2
Avg Pts Against 75.3 70.0
Massey -6.1 (#261) -1.1 (#180)
Bradley-Terry -0.87 (#246) -0.16 (#190)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.07 (#248) -0.28 (#194)
RPI 0.442 (#276) 0.485 (#199)
Shooting & Four Factors SUU CBU
FG% 43.9% 42.9%
3PT% 30.5% 29.6%
REB / G 34.1 36.6
OREB / G 9.4 12.4
AST / TO 0.80 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.4% 48.3%
TOV% 21.8% 16.7%
ORB% 28.6% 33.4%
FT Rate 25.6% 22.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.3% 51.4%
Opp TOV% 15.2% 16.7%
DRB% 65.9% 71.7%
Opp FT Rate 21.0% 22.7%

Game Analysis

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