Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
Western Athletic Conference · America First Events Center · January 26, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -4.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money SUU +160 / CBU -190
Model Predictions
Spread Total SUU win
Actual CBU +16 136 Lost
Massey CBU -1.6 (-14.4) — —
Massey Totals — 145.4 (-9.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 47% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 48% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CBU -2.0 (-14.0) 140.5 (-4.5) 39% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CBU -2.8 (-13.2) 138.8 (-2.8) 37% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -1.4 (-14.6) 139.8 (-3.8) 43% ✓
Baseline ML CBU -1.4 (-14.6) 139.3 (-3.3) 38% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 CBU 82 – 75 SUU
Feb 13, 2026 CBU 83 – 66 SUU
Jan 11, 2026 CBU 58 – 55 SUU
Feb 7, 2025 SUU 60 – 57 CBU
Jan 21, 2024 CBU 83 – 76 SUU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SUU CBU
Overall 12-19 17-15
Conference 4-12 9-7
Home 8-7 11-5
Away 3-11 4-8
Neutral 1-1 2-2
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 66.8 71.2
Avg Pts Against 75.3 70.0
Massey -6.1 (#261) -1.1 (#180)
Bradley-Terry -0.87 (#246) -0.16 (#190)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.07 (#248) -0.28 (#194)
RPI 0.442 (#276) 0.485 (#199)
Shooting & Four Factors SUU CBU
FG% 43.9% 42.9%
3PT% 30.5% 29.6%
REB / G 34.1 36.6
OREB / G 9.4 12.4
AST / TO 0.80 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.4% 48.3%
TOV% 21.8% 16.7%
ORB% 28.6% 33.4%
FT Rate 25.6% 22.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.3% 51.4%
Opp TOV% 15.2% 16.7%
DRB% 65.9% 71.7%
Opp FT Rate 21.0% 22.7%

Game Analysis

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