Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Horizon League · UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · January 11, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread MILW -8.5 Home covered
O/U 165.5 Over
Money MILW -455 / IUIN +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total MILW win
Actual MILW +12 178 Won
Massey MILW -11.8 (+0.2)
Massey Totals 174.0 (+4.0)
Bradley-Terry 93%
Weighted B-T 96%
Baseline Plus ML MILW -10.1 (+1.9) 156.6 (+21.4) 84%
Model 4 ML MILW -11.3 (+0.7) 156.4 (+21.6) 85%
Model 3 ML MILW -10.2 (+1.8) 157.2 (+20.8) 84%
Baseline ML MILW -9.6 (+2.4) 155.2 (+22.8) 84%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 10, 2026 MILW 9288 IUIN
Feb 5, 2025 MILW 8480 IUIN
Dec 29, 2024 MILW 8881 IUIN
Feb 29, 2024 MILW 7570 IUIN
Feb 4, 2024 MILW 8767 IUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MILW IUIN
Overall 12-20 7-25
Conference 8-12 3-17
Home 9-6 5-9
Away 3-14 2-15
Neutral 0-0 0-1
Last 5 1-4 0-5
Streak L1 L7
Avg Pts For 74.7 80.9
Avg Pts Against 79.9 89.2
Massey -3.8 (#228) -12.1 (#332)
Bradley-Terry -0.58 (#217) -2.50 (#339)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.89 (#229) -3.35 (#341)
RPI 0.474 (#221) 0.366 (#354)
Shooting & Four Factors MILW IUIN
FG% 42.5% 43.4%
3PT% 32.1% 30.6%
REB / G 36.8 31.8
OREB / G 13.4 11.4
AST / TO 1.26 1.45
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.7% 50.4%
TOV% 14.9% 16.2%
ORB% 34.3% 28.0%
FT Rate 20.5% 15.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.6% 58.7%
Opp TOV% 15.2% 20.3%
DRB% 69.9% 62.9%
Opp FT Rate 26.6% 36.0%

Game Analysis

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