Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Over |
| Money | MILW -455 IUIN +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +12 | 178 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -11.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 174.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -10.2 (+1.8) | 157.2 (+20.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -11.3 (+0.7) | 156.4 (+21.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -10.1 (+1.9) | 156.6 (+21.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -9.6 (+2.4) | 155.2 (+22.8) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | MILW 92 – 88 IUIN |
| Feb 5, 2025 | MILW 84 – 80 IUIN |
| Dec 29, 2024 | MILW 88 – 81 IUIN |
| Feb 29, 2024 | MILW 75 – 70 IUIN |
| Feb 4, 2024 | MILW 87 – 67 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 3-17 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-9 |
| Away | 3-14 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.9 | 89.2 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#228) | -12.1 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#217) | -2.50 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#229) | -3.35 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#221) | 0.366 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 58.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 62.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 36.0% |
Game Analysis
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