Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | IUIN +340 MILW -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +4 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | MILW -8.9 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -8.2 (+4.2) | 149.3 (+14.7) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -7.7 (+3.7) | 147.7 (+16.3) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -7.6 (+3.6) | 149.2 (+14.8) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -8.1 (+4.1) | 151.3 (+12.7) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | MILW 92 – 88 IUIN |
| Jan 11, 2026 | MILW 95 – 83 IUIN |
| Dec 29, 2024 | MILW 88 – 81 IUIN |
| Feb 29, 2024 | MILW 75 – 70 IUIN |
| Feb 4, 2024 | MILW 87 – 67 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 14-6 |
| Home | 6-8 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-12 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#314) | 2.7 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.07 (#334) | 0.42 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.41 (#324) | 0.77 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#337) | 0.538 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 40.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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