Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | IUIN +120 MILW -142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +4 | 180 | Lost |
| Massey | MILW -1.3 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -0.9 (-3.1) | 155.1 (+24.9) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -0.4 (-3.6) | 154.5 (+25.5) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IUIN -0.0 (-4.0) | 158.2 (+21.8) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -0.4 (-3.6) | 157.9 (+22.1) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | MILW 95 – 83 IUIN |
| Feb 5, 2025 | MILW 84 – 80 IUIN |
| Dec 29, 2024 | MILW 88 – 81 IUIN |
| Feb 29, 2024 | MILW 75 – 70 IUIN |
| Feb 4, 2024 | MILW 87 – 67 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 8-12 |
| Home | 5-9 | 9-6 |
| Away | 2-15 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 89.2 | 79.9 |
| Massey | -10.3 (#313) | -6.0 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#318) | -1.11 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.21 (#312) | -1.54 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#349) | 0.447 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.0% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 63.1% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.8% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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