Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | MILW -5000 IUIN +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +20 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -16.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (+0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -12.3 (+7.7) | 150.1 (+3.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -12.0 (+8.0) | 149.4 (+4.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -11.6 (+8.4) | 150.6 (+3.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -12.1 (+7.9) | 151.1 (+2.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | MILW 92 – 88 IUIN |
| Jan 11, 2026 | MILW 95 – 83 IUIN |
| Feb 5, 2025 | MILW 84 – 80 IUIN |
| Dec 29, 2024 | MILW 88 – 81 IUIN |
| Feb 29, 2024 | MILW 75 – 70 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 2-18 |
| Home | 12-4 | 4-10 |
| Away | 6-9 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 81.2 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#253) | -17.1 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#227) | -2.98 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#259) | -3.71 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#203) | 0.375 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 25.3% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 57.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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