Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Horizon League · Corteva Coliseum · February 29, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread MILW -12.5 Home covered
O/U 154.5 Under
Money IUIN +650 / MILW -800
Model Predictions
Spread Total IUIN win
Actual MILW +5 145 Lost
Massey MILW -11.9 (+6.9) — —
Massey Totals — 154.5 (-9.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 9% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 8% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MILW -11.5 (+6.5) 150.9 (-5.9) 16% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MILW -10.1 (+5.1) 151.3 (-6.3) 16% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MILW -11.7 (+6.7) 149.1 (-4.1) 14% ✓
Baseline ML MILW -11.4 (+6.4) 150.7 (-5.7) 14% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 10, 2026 MILW 92 – 88 IUIN
Jan 11, 2026 MILW 95 – 83 IUIN
Feb 5, 2025 MILW 84 – 80 IUIN
Dec 29, 2024 MILW 88 – 81 IUIN
Feb 4, 2024 MILW 87 – 67 IUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings IUIN MILW
Overall 6-26 20-15
Conference 2-18 12-8
Home 4-10 12-4
Away 2-13 6-9
Neutral 0-3 2-2
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak L12 L1
Avg Pts For 64.5 79.0
Avg Pts Against 81.2 79.5
Massey -19.2 (#361) -4.0 (#240)
Bradley-Terry -3.37 (#359) -0.44 (#219)
W. Bradley-Terry -4.10 (#360) -0.93 (#256)
RPI 0.370 (#359) 0.486 (#203)
Shooting & Four Factors IUIN MILW
FG% 43.1% 44.0%
3PT% 25.4% 33.2%
REB / G 29.5 38.1
OREB / G 9.8 13.6
AST / TO 0.70 1.04
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.2% 50.9%
TOV% 21.0% 18.5%
ORB% 29.7% 36.0%
FT Rate 23.5% 23.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 58.6% 50.6%
Opp TOV% 18.0% 15.5%
DRB% 65.0% 65.6%
Opp FT Rate 24.1% 25.0%

Game Analysis

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