Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | NEV -185 WYO +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +9 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | NEV -0.7 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (+25.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -3.5 (+5.5) | 142.6 (+32.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -2.5 (+6.5) | 143.3 (+31.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -2.3 (+6.7) | 142.5 (+32.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -1.4 (+7.6) | 143.4 (+31.6) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | WYO 83 – 73 NEV |
| Feb 26, 2025 | NEV 84 – 61 WYO |
| Dec 28, 2024 | WYO 66 – 63 NEV |
| Feb 21, 2024 | NEV 76 – 58 WYO |
| Jan 21, 2024 | WYO 98 – 93 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 17-2 | 14-4 |
| Away | 4-9 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#88) | 9.9 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#69) | 0.86 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.14 (#66) | 1.02 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#45) | 0.538 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 13.3% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 36.7% |
| FT Rate | 35.4% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 38.2% |
Game Analysis
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