Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | WYO +105 NEV -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +10 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -0.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -0.3 (+9.7) | 141.0 (+15.0) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -1.5 (+8.5) | 142.6 (+13.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -1.1 (+8.9) | 144.3 (+11.7) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -1.1 (+8.9) | 144.2 (+11.8) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | NEV 92 – 83 WYO |
| Feb 26, 2025 | NEV 84 – 61 WYO |
| Dec 28, 2024 | WYO 66 – 63 NEV |
| Feb 21, 2024 | NEV 76 – 58 WYO |
| Jan 21, 2024 | WYO 98 – 93 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-4 | 17-2 |
| Away | 3-10 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#96) | 8.4 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#107) | 1.44 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#103) | 1.79 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#126) | 0.569 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 34.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.1% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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