Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | NEV -1400 WYO +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +18 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | NEV -15.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -13.9 (+4.1) | 143.6 (-9.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -12.7 (+5.3) | 142.6 (-8.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -12.8 (+5.2) | 144.5 (-10.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -12.7 (+5.3) | 145.5 (-11.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | WYO 83 – 73 NEV |
| Jan 11, 2026 | NEV 92 – 83 WYO |
| Feb 26, 2025 | NEV 84 – 61 WYO |
| Dec 28, 2024 | WYO 66 – 63 NEV |
| Jan 21, 2024 | WYO 98 – 93 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-3 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#45) | -0.6 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#23) | 0.61 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.72 (#27) | 0.46 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#43) | 0.527 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 32.9% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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