Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | WYO +275 NEV -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +5 | 191 | Won |
| Massey | NEV -9.7 (+14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (+52.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -7.8 (+12.8) | 138.1 (+52.9) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -8.6 (+13.6) | 137.7 (+53.3) | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -9.1 (+14.1) | 138.1 (+52.9) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -8.8 (+13.8) | 139.2 (+51.8) | 21% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | WYO 83 – 73 NEV |
| Jan 11, 2026 | NEV 92 – 83 WYO |
| Feb 26, 2025 | NEV 84 – 61 WYO |
| Dec 28, 2024 | WYO 66 – 63 NEV |
| Feb 21, 2024 | NEV 76 – 58 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-5 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-10 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#207) | 10.9 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#163) | 2.19 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#173) | 2.54 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#137) | 0.598 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.9% | 33.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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