Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | WYO +210 NEV -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +3 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | NEV -5.4 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -5.4 (+8.4) | 132.4 (-3.4) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -4.0 (+7.0) | 136.2 (-7.2) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -4.5 (+7.5) | 137.0 (-8.0) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -4.5 (+7.5) | 134.9 (-5.9) | 35% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | WYO 83 – 73 NEV |
| Jan 11, 2026 | NEV 92 – 83 WYO |
| Feb 26, 2025 | NEV 84 – 61 WYO |
| Feb 21, 2024 | NEV 76 – 58 WYO |
| Jan 21, 2024 | WYO 98 – 93 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-7 | 11-6 |
| Away | 3-10 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#152) | 10.0 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#201) | 1.06 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#195) | 1.72 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#195) | 0.568 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 49.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 41.6% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 57.4% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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