Four young chiquitas in Omaha waitin' for the band to return from the show. "We're an American Band" - Grand Funk Railroad
Wyoming Cowboys
66 – 63
FINAL Conference
Nevada Wolf Pack
Mountain West Conference · Arena-Auditorium · December 28, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread NEV -5.5 Home covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money WYO +210 / NEV -250
Model Predictions
Spread Total WYO win
Actual WYO +3 129 Won
Massey NEV -5.4 (+8.4) — —
Massey Totals — 134.5 (-5.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 36% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 22% ✗
Baseline Plus ML NEV -4.5 (+7.5) 134.9 (-5.9) 35% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ NEV -5.4 (+8.4) 132.4 (-3.4) 31% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML NEV -4.0 (+7.0) 136.2 (-7.2) 36% ✗
Baseline ML NEV -4.5 (+7.5) 137.0 (-8.0) 35% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 4, 2026 WYO 83 – 73 NEV
Jan 11, 2026 NEV 92 – 83 WYO
Feb 26, 2025 NEV 84 – 61 WYO
Feb 21, 2024 NEV 76 – 58 WYO
Jan 21, 2024 WYO 98 – 93 NEV

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WYO NEV
Overall 12-20 17-16
Conference 5-15 8-12
Home 8-7 11-6
Away 3-10 3-8
Neutral 1-3 3-2
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L5 L1
Avg Pts For 65.8 72.3
Avg Pts Against 70.7 68.1
Massey 0.4 (#152) 10.0 (#56)
Bradley-Terry -0.30 (#201) 1.06 (#90)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.41 (#195) 1.72 (#79)
RPI 0.484 (#195) 0.568 (#70)
Shooting & Four Factors WYO NEV
FG% 46.1% 49.6%
3PT% 34.8% 41.6%
REB / G 37.0 34.7
OREB / G 11.2 9.1
AST / TO 0.81 1.54
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.9% 57.4%
TOV% 21.2% 15.9%
ORB% 34.5% 29.7%
FT Rate 24.7% 26.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.6% 48.2%
Opp TOV% 14.8% 17.7%
DRB% 73.6% 73.1%
Opp FT Rate 26.6% 24.8%

Game Analysis

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