Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | NEV -1000 WYO +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +23 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | NEV -12.5 (+10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (+13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -13.2 (+9.8) | 134.1 (+10.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -11.3 (+11.7) | 132.5 (+12.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -12.0 (+11.0) | 135.5 (+9.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -11.6 (+11.4) | 135.9 (+9.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | WYO 83 – 73 NEV |
| Jan 11, 2026 | NEV 92 – 83 WYO |
| Dec 28, 2024 | WYO 66 – 63 NEV |
| Feb 21, 2024 | NEV 76 – 58 WYO |
| Jan 21, 2024 | WYO 98 – 93 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 5-15 |
| Home | 11-6 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#71) | -1.1 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#99) | -0.17 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#82) | -0.38 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#127) | 0.471 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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