Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 168.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH +800 BYU -1350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +5 | 173 | Lost |
| Massey | BYU -16.5 (+11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.7 (+7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -14.5 (+9.5) | 157.2 (+15.8) | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -13.9 (+8.9) | 157.5 (+15.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -14.1 (+9.1) | 157.5 (+15.5) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -14.4 (+9.4) | 157.4 (+15.6) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | BYU 91 – 78 UTAH |
| Mar 9, 2025 | BYU 85 – 74 UTAH |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UTAH 73 – 72 BYU |
| Dec 10, 2023 | UTAH 73 – 69 BYU |
| Dec 17, 2022 | BYU 75 – 66 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-9 | 14-3 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 83.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#137) | 22.1 (#8) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#130) | 4.47 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#147) | 6.14 (#9) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#150) | 0.674 (#5) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 50.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 58.0% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 15.9% |
Game Analysis
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