Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH +126 BYU -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +4 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -8.5 (+12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.0 (-16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -4.3 (+8.3) | 152.6 (-10.6) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -3.9 (+7.9) | 151.6 (-9.6) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -4.5 (+8.5) | 151.1 (-9.1) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -5.0 (+9.0) | 151.0 (-9.0) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | BYU 91 – 78 UTAH |
| Jan 11, 2026 | BYU 89 – 84 UTAH |
| Mar 9, 2025 | BYU 85 – 74 UTAH |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UTAH 73 – 72 BYU |
| Dec 17, 2022 | BYU 75 – 66 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 17-2 | 16-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#38) | 24.6 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#42) | 3.88 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.48 (#49) | 5.73 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.607 (#44) | 0.645 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 45.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 2.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 59.0% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 38.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 42.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 80.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.3% | 15.3% |
Game Analysis
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