Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | BYU +130 UTAH -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +9 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -8.2 (+17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -6.0 (+15.0) | 146.0 (-5.0) | 31% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -3.2 (+12.2) | 145.8 (-4.8) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -6.2 (+15.2) | 146.0 (-5.0) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -6.1 (+15.1) | 145.7 (-4.7) | 28% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | BYU 91 – 78 UTAH |
| Jan 11, 2026 | BYU 89 – 84 UTAH |
| Mar 9, 2025 | BYU 85 – 74 UTAH |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UTAH 73 – 72 BYU |
| Dec 10, 2023 | UTAH 73 – 69 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-4 | 12-6 |
| Away | 2-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 63.8 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#179) | 13.4 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#192) | 2.15 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#171) | 2.64 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#205) | 0.572 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 41.1 | 44.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 39.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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