Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH +105 BYU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +1 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -0.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -1.8 (-0.8) | 146.5 (-1.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -1.6 (-0.6) | 147.6 (-2.6) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -1.4 (-0.4) | 147.0 (-2.0) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -1.3 (-0.3) | 145.3 (-0.3) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | BYU 91 – 78 UTAH |
| Jan 11, 2026 | BYU 89 – 84 UTAH |
| Mar 9, 2025 | BYU 85 – 74 UTAH |
| Dec 10, 2023 | UTAH 73 – 69 BYU |
| Dec 17, 2022 | BYU 75 – 66 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-4 | 15-2 |
| Away | 1-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#61) | 12.9 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#88) | 1.21 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#77) | 1.75 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#154) | 0.534 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.73 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 36.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 78.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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