Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 168.5 Over |
| Money | BYU -2800 UTAH +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +13 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -19.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -19.1 (-6.1) | 160.0 (+9.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -16.2 (-3.2) | 162.1 (+6.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -16.4 (-3.4) | 160.1 (+8.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -17.6 (-4.6) | 159.5 (+9.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | BYU 89 – 84 UTAH |
| Mar 9, 2025 | BYU 85 – 74 UTAH |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UTAH 73 – 72 BYU |
| Dec 10, 2023 | UTAH 73 – 69 BYU |
| Dec 17, 2022 | BYU 75 – 66 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 2-16 |
| Home | 14-3 | 8-9 |
| Away | 3-6 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.5 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 20.2 (#13) | 3.7 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.02 (#10) | 0.72 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.02 (#11) | 0.71 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.662 (#9) | 0.517 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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