Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | BYU -900 UTAH +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +11 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -10.7 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -11.8 (-0.8) | 155.0 (+4.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -10.5 (+0.5) | 155.1 (+3.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -11.4 (-0.4) | 156.2 (+2.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -10.6 (+0.4) | 154.7 (+4.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | BYU 91 – 78 UTAH |
| Jan 11, 2026 | BYU 89 – 84 UTAH |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UTAH 73 – 72 BYU |
| Dec 10, 2023 | UTAH 73 – 69 BYU |
| Dec 17, 2022 | BYU 75 – 66 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 15-2 | 15-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 16.9 (#21) | 9.5 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.51 (#34) | 1.32 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.97 (#38) | 1.67 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#52) | 0.510 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.7% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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