Betting Lines
| Spread | USU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS +110 USU -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USU +25 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | USU -3.5 (-21.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USU -2.1 (-22.9) | 145.6 (+15.4) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USU -1.3 (-23.7) | 145.8 (+15.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USU -2.0 (-23.0) | 145.1 (+15.9) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USU -2.6 (-22.4) | 146.8 (+14.2) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | USU 75 – 56 BOIS |
| Feb 27, 2025 | BOIS 82 – 65 USU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | USU 81 – 79 BOIS |
| Feb 11, 2024 | USU 80 – 61 BOIS |
| Jan 27, 2024 | USU 90 – 84 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | USU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 29-7 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 15-5 |
| Home | 12-4 | 14-1 |
| Away | 6-5 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 8-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#67) | 16.4 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#58) | 2.65 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#70) | 3.12 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.606 (#34) | 0.628 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | USU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 52.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 58.9% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 37.6% |
| FT Rate | 32.9% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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