Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | BOIS -190 USU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +17 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -1.7 (+15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -2.3 (+14.7) | 146.6 (+0.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -3.0 (+14.0) | 144.3 (+2.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -2.5 (+14.5) | 145.7 (+1.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -2.4 (+14.6) | 148.5 (-1.5) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | USU 75 – 56 BOIS |
| Jan 11, 2026 | USU 93 – 68 BOIS |
| Jan 12, 2025 | USU 81 – 79 BOIS |
| Feb 11, 2024 | USU 80 – 61 BOIS |
| Jan 27, 2024 | USU 90 – 84 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | USU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-5 |
| Home | 13-3 | 15-2 |
| Away | 6-5 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#48) | 13.4 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#54) | 2.84 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.39 (#52) | 3.45 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#48) | 0.617 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | USU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.2% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 77.7% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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