Betting Lines
| Spread | USU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | USU -550 BOIS +410 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USU +19 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | USU -9.7 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.1 (-26.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USU -10.5 (+8.5) | 154.0 (-23.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USU -10.1 (+8.9) | 149.1 (-18.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USU -10.4 (+8.6) | 154.7 (-23.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USU -10.0 (+9.0) | 153.6 (-22.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | USU 93 – 68 BOIS |
| Feb 27, 2025 | BOIS 82 – 65 USU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | USU 81 – 79 BOIS |
| Feb 11, 2024 | USU 80 – 61 BOIS |
| Jan 27, 2024 | USU 90 – 84 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-7 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-1 | 12-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 16.9 (#25) | 10.1 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.74 (#28) | 1.58 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.23 (#38) | 1.81 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#17) | 0.582 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.8% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.9% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 34.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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