Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | RID +470 MRST -650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +22 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | MRST -14.8 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.6 (-4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -14.6 (-7.4) | 124.5 (-4.5) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -13.1 (-8.9) | 130.3 (-10.3) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -13.8 (-8.2) | 128.2 (-8.2) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -13.5 (-8.5) | 124.9 (-4.9) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | MRST 81 – 52 RID |
| Jan 19, 2025 | RID 64 – 57 MRST |
| Feb 11, 2024 | MRST 77 – 62 RID |
| Jan 14, 2024 | MRST 83 – 60 RID |
| Jan 28, 2023 | RID 68 – 52 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-25 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 12-8 |
| Home | 4-9 | 11-4 |
| Away | 0-16 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.6 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 63.9 |
| Massey | -15.2 (#351) | 3.0 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.80 (#365) | -0.01 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.68 (#364) | 0.07 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.376 (#350) | 0.506 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.4% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.1% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 44.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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