Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | MRST -450 RID +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +7 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | MRST -10.7 (-17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -8.9 (-15.9) | 130.4 (-9.4) | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -7.2 (-14.2) | 131.9 (-10.9) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -9.4 (-16.4) | 131.7 (-10.7) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -9.4 (-16.4) | 129.7 (-8.7) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | MRST 81 – 52 RID |
| Jan 11, 2026 | MRST 71 – 49 RID |
| Feb 11, 2024 | MRST 77 – 62 RID |
| Jan 14, 2024 | MRST 83 – 60 RID |
| Jan 28, 2023 | RID 68 – 52 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-10 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 5-7 |
| Away | 9-5 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#217) | -10.2 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#98) | -1.49 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#133) | -2.19 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#105) | 0.421 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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