Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | MRST -1450 RID +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +29 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | MRST -18.7 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -13.2 (+15.8) | 131.8 (+1.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -13.3 (+15.7) | 134.1 (-1.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -14.5 (+14.5) | 134.4 (-1.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -14.3 (+14.7) | 133.2 (-0.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | MRST 71 – 49 RID |
| Jan 19, 2025 | RID 64 – 57 MRST |
| Feb 11, 2024 | MRST 77 – 62 RID |
| Jan 14, 2024 | MRST 83 – 60 RID |
| Jan 28, 2023 | RID 68 – 52 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 4-25 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 3-17 |
| Home | 11-4 | 4-9 |
| Away | 7-7 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 62.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.9 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#154) | -15.1 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#169) | -3.12 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#174) | -3.99 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#129) | 0.398 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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