Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | MRST +140 RID -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +16 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | RID -1.7 (-14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -2.1 (-13.9) | 132.0 (-12.0) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -2.1 (-13.9) | 130.0 (-10.0) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -2.5 (-13.5) | 132.3 (-12.3) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RID -1.7 (-14.3) | 132.1 (-12.1) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | MRST 81 – 52 RID |
| Jan 11, 2026 | MRST 71 – 49 RID |
| Jan 19, 2025 | RID 64 – 57 MRST |
| Feb 11, 2024 | MRST 77 – 62 RID |
| Jan 14, 2024 | MRST 83 – 60 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 13-7 |
| Home | 5-10 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#299) | -2.1 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#301) | -0.49 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#309) | -0.68 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#314) | 0.483 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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