Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | SCU -800 LMU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +31 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -12.1 (+18.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (+25.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -12.7 (+18.3) | 147.1 (+27.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -12.4 (+18.6) | 146.0 (+29.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -12.1 (+18.9) | 146.4 (+28.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -12.9 (+18.1) | 148.1 (+26.9) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SCU 104 – 73 LMU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SCU 76 – 61 LMU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | LMU 57 – 54 SCU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | SCU 65 – 55 LMU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | SCU 68 – 57 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-1 | 10-8 |
| Away | 8-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-5 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#49) | 2.7 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#51) | 0.53 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#46) | 0.79 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#47) | 0.515 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 40.2% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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