Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | SCU -700 LMU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +15 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -14.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -13.5 (+1.5) | 145.3 (-8.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -14.3 (+0.7) | 143.6 (-6.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -13.4 (+1.6) | 142.6 (-5.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -14.6 (+0.4) | 144.7 (-7.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SCU 104 – 73 LMU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | SCU 103 – 72 LMU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | LMU 57 – 54 SCU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | SCU 65 – 55 LMU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | SCU 68 – 57 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-5 | 11-6 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#55) | -0.5 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#72) | 0.38 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#73) | 0.37 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#75) | 0.518 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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