Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | SCU -600 LMU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +10 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -8.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-26.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -9.2 (+0.8) | 142.5 (-22.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -8.3 (+1.7) | 145.1 (-25.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -8.3 (+1.7) | 145.8 (-25.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -8.6 (+1.4) | 146.1 (-26.1) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SCU 104 – 73 LMU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | SCU 103 – 72 LMU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SCU 76 – 61 LMU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | LMU 57 – 54 SCU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | SCU 68 – 57 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 5-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 8-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#110) | -1.0 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#101) | -0.68 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#106) | -0.74 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#116) | 0.453 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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