Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | LMU +340 SCU -440 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +31 | 177 | Lost |
| Massey | SCU -10.0 (-21.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (+27.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -9.4 (-21.6) | 146.5 (+30.5) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -8.6 (-22.4) | 144.7 (+32.3) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -8.9 (-22.1) | 145.8 (+31.2) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -8.4 (-22.6) | 146.4 (+30.6) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | SCU 103 – 72 LMU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SCU 76 – 61 LMU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | LMU 57 – 54 SCU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | SCU 65 – 55 LMU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | SCU 68 – 57 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 15-3 |
| Home | 10-8 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-5 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 82.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#165) | 13.2 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#185) | 2.19 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#172) | 3.15 (#35) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#189) | 0.607 (#33) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 38.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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