The name is Big Daddy, yes big not little. "Ain't No Half Steppin'" - Big Daddy Kane
West Coast Conference · Gersten Pavilion · January 5, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread LMU -2.0 Away covered
O/U 148.0 Under
Money LMU -130 / SCU +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total LMU win
Actual SCU +11 125 Lost
Massey LMU -1.7 (-12.7) — —
Massey Totals — 145.6 (-20.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 38% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 30% ✓
Baseline Plus ML LMU -1.3 (-12.3) 143.1 (-18.1) 50% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LMU -1.1 (-12.1) 140.5 (-15.5) 55% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML LMU -1.2 (-12.2) 142.9 (-17.9) 53% ✗
Baseline ML LMU -0.3 (-11.3) 143.3 (-18.3) 47% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 1, 2026 SCU 104 – 73 LMU
Jan 11, 2026 SCU 103 – 72 LMU
Feb 21, 2025 SCU 76 – 61 LMU
Jan 17, 2025 LMU 57 – 54 SCU
Feb 23, 2024 SCU 65 – 55 LMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LMU SCU
Overall 12-19 20-13
Conference 5-11 10-6
Home 8-8 11-4
Away 2-7 5-6
Neutral 2-4 4-3
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 71.2 76.0
Avg Pts Against 71.5 72.3
Massey 0.1 (#163) 2.7 (#126)
Bradley-Terry -0.58 (#234) 0.76 (#115)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.69 (#230) 1.11 (#108)
RPI 0.455 (#257) 0.534 (#120)
Shooting & Four Factors LMU SCU
FG% 43.2% 46.4%
3PT% 35.8% 35.8%
REB / G 36.2 38.4
OREB / G 10.4 10.9
AST / TO 1.01 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.7% 53.0%
TOV% 17.4% 19.4%
ORB% 30.6% 31.4%
FT Rate 24.1% 20.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.5% 47.7%
Opp TOV% 14.6% 15.6%
DRB% 73.0% 70.7%
Opp FT Rate 22.6% 21.1%

Game Analysis

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