Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
| Money | LMU -130 SCU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +11 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | LMU -1.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -1.1 (-12.1) | 140.5 (-15.5) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -1.2 (-12.2) | 142.9 (-17.9) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -0.3 (-11.3) | 143.3 (-18.3) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -1.3 (-12.3) | 143.1 (-18.1) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SCU 104 – 73 LMU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | SCU 103 – 72 LMU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SCU 76 – 61 LMU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | LMU 57 – 54 SCU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | SCU 65 – 55 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 10-6 |
| Home | 8-8 | 11-4 |
| Away | 2-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#163) | 2.7 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#234) | 0.76 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#230) | 1.11 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#257) | 0.534 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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