Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | LMU +160 SCU -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +3 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -4.8 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (-37.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -4.4 (+7.4) | 147.0 (-36.0) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -3.8 (+6.8) | 146.2 (-35.2) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -4.8 (+7.8) | 147.6 (-36.6) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -4.1 (+7.1) | 147.4 (-36.4) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SCU 104 – 73 LMU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | SCU 103 – 72 LMU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SCU 76 – 61 LMU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | SCU 65 – 55 LMU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | SCU 68 – 57 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 81.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#165) | 8.4 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#109) | 1.26 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#105) | 1.62 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#99) | 0.568 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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