We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Horizon League · OU Credit Union O'rena · January 11, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread OAK -4.5 Away covered
O/U 161.5 Over
Money OAK -218 / WRST +180
Model Predictions
Spread Total OAK win
Actual WRST +10 178 Lost
Massey OAK -4.7 (-14.7)
Massey Totals 164.1 (+13.9)
Bradley-Terry 80%
Weighted B-T 76%
Baseline Plus ML OAK -5.0 (-15.0) 158.3 (+19.7) 67%
Model 4 ML OAK -3.3 (-13.3) 156.2 (+21.8) 66%
Model 3 ML OAK -4.1 (-14.1) 152.6 (+25.4) 71%
Baseline ML OAK -4.6 (-14.6) 154.7 (+23.3) 64%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 30, 2025 WRST 8873 OAK
Jan 10, 2025 WRST 6662 OAK
Dec 6, 2024 OAK 6664 WRST
Feb 25, 2024 WRST 9675 OAK
Feb 11, 2024 OAK 7460 WRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OAK WRST
Overall 16-16 23-12
Conference 12-8 15-5
Home 7-6 11-5
Away 8-9 9-5
Neutral 1-1 3-2
Last 5 3-2 5-0
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 81.6 79.8
Avg Pts Against 82.8 75.6
Massey 3.3 (#119) 2.0 (#139)
Bradley-Terry 0.97 (#93) 0.19 (#159)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.91 (#112) 0.42 (#145)
RPI 0.588 (#50) 0.511 (#151)
Shooting & Four Factors OAK WRST
FG% 46.3% 47.6%
3PT% 34.1% 36.2%
REB / G 34.7 33.1
OREB / G 10.8 10.1
AST / TO 1.51 1.13
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.1% 54.1%
TOV% 14.4% 17.0%
ORB% 30.0% 30.3%
FT Rate 29.8% 25.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.3% 50.8%
Opp TOV% 14.3% 18.3%
DRB% 65.6% 67.6%
Opp FT Rate 19.0% 25.4%

Game Analysis

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