Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | OAK -218 WRST +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +10 | 178 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -4.7 (-14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.1 (+13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -4.1 (-14.1) | 152.6 (+25.4) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -3.3 (-13.3) | 156.2 (+21.8) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -5.0 (-15.0) | 158.3 (+19.7) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -4.6 (-14.6) | 154.7 (+23.3) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | WRST 88 – 73 OAK |
| Jan 10, 2025 | WRST 66 – 62 OAK |
| Dec 6, 2024 | OAK 66 – 64 WRST |
| Feb 25, 2024 | WRST 96 – 75 OAK |
| Feb 11, 2024 | OAK 74 – 60 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 15-5 |
| Home | 7-6 | 11-5 |
| Away | 8-9 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 79.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.8 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#119) | 2.0 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#93) | 0.19 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#112) | 0.42 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#50) | 0.511 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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