Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | WRST -180 OAK +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +15 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -3.9 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -2.9 (+12.1) | 152.0 (+9.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -3.1 (+11.9) | 152.6 (+8.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -3.1 (+11.9) | 153.1 (+7.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -2.9 (+12.1) | 152.0 (+9.0) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | WRST 94 – 84 OAK |
| Jan 10, 2025 | WRST 66 – 62 OAK |
| Dec 6, 2024 | OAK 66 – 64 WRST |
| Feb 25, 2024 | WRST 96 – 75 OAK |
| Feb 11, 2024 | OAK 74 – 60 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 9-5 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.8 | 81.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 82.8 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#131) | 3.0 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#222) | 0.92 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#182) | 0.87 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#195) | 0.594 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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