Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | OAK -115 WRST -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +2 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -3.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -1.7 (+0.3) | 133.3 (-3.3) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -1.8 (+0.2) | 132.7 (-2.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -0.6 (+1.4) | 133.5 (-3.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -0.6 (+1.4) | 133.3 (-3.3) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | WRST 94 – 84 OAK |
| Dec 30, 2025 | WRST 88 – 73 OAK |
| Jan 10, 2025 | WRST 66 – 62 OAK |
| Feb 25, 2024 | WRST 96 – 75 OAK |
| Feb 11, 2024 | OAK 74 – 60 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 77.5 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#145) | 2.4 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#176) | 1.04 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#110) | 1.96 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#94) | 0.571 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 23.9% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 13.4% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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