Bitch, I'm me! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
Horizon League · Nutter Center · January 10, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -2.5 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money WRST -150 / OAK +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total WRST win
Actual WRST +4 128 Won
Massey WRST -5.8 (-1.8)
Massey Totals 139.5 (-11.5)
Bradley-Terry 72%
Weighted B-T 78%
Baseline Plus ML WRST -5.0 (-1.0) 140.4 (-12.4) 69%
Model 4 ML WRST -3.3 (+0.7) 139.8 (-11.8) 66%
Model 3 ML WRST -4.6 (-0.6) 140.9 (-12.9) 71%
Baseline ML WRST -4.5 (-0.5) 142.1 (-14.1) 71%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 11, 2026 WRST 9484 OAK
Dec 30, 2025 WRST 8873 OAK
Dec 6, 2024 OAK 6664 WRST
Feb 25, 2024 WRST 9675 OAK
Feb 11, 2024 OAK 7460 WRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WRST OAK
Overall 15-18 16-18
Conference 8-12 11-9
Home 11-4 9-4
Away 3-12 6-11
Neutral 1-2 1-3
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.5 70.5
Avg Pts Against 77.5 72.2
Massey -0.8 (#175) -2.5 (#211)
Bradley-Terry -0.19 (#187) -0.37 (#205)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.01 (#168) -0.40 (#200)
RPI 0.488 (#191) 0.512 (#147)
Shooting & Four Factors WRST OAK
FG% 48.8% 40.6%
3PT% 38.3% 26.8%
REB / G 33.0 33.3
OREB / G 7.0 11.9
AST / TO 1.26 0.94
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.1% 46.2%
TOV% 16.5% 16.7%
ORB% 22.1% 32.2%
FT Rate 18.4% 17.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.6% 52.5%
Opp TOV% 14.6% 15.9%
DRB% 74.1% 65.3%
Opp FT Rate 21.0% 20.9%

Game Analysis

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