I don't know why I let that mean woman make me a fool. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Horizon League · OU Credit Union O'rena · February 25, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread OAK -4.5 Away covered
O/U 160.5 Over
Money OAK -188 / WRST +145
Model Predictions
Spread Total OAK win
Actual WRST +21 171 Lost
Massey OAK -6.4 (-27.4) — —
Massey Totals — 167.9 (+3.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 82% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 82% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML OAK -6.8 (-27.8) 159.6 (+11.4) 76% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ OAK -5.5 (-26.5) 156.4 (+14.6) 70% ✗
Baseline Plus ML OAK -6.9 (-27.9) 157.9 (+13.1) 73% ✗
Baseline ML OAK -6.6 (-27.6) 159.1 (+11.9) 73% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 11, 2026 WRST 94 – 84 OAK
Dec 30, 2025 WRST 88 – 73 OAK
Jan 10, 2025 WRST 66 – 62 OAK
Dec 6, 2024 OAK 66 – 64 WRST
Feb 11, 2024 OAK 74 – 60 WRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OAK WRST
Overall 24-12 18-14
Conference 15-5 13-7
Home 10-3 9-7
Away 9-7 7-6
Neutral 5-2 2-1
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.4 86.2
Avg Pts Against 73.2 82.8
Massey 3.8 (#118) 0.7 (#154)
Bradley-Terry 0.82 (#111) -0.09 (#178)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.78 (#124) -0.07 (#171)
RPI 0.563 (#72) 0.515 (#149)
Shooting & Four Factors OAK WRST
FG% 45.1% 53.1%
3PT% 35.2% 38.1%
REB / G 35.8 33.4
OREB / G 10.5 9.0
AST / TO 1.25 1.35
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.2% 58.6%
TOV% 16.3% 16.4%
ORB% 30.6% 29.2%
FT Rate 22.7% 26.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.4% 55.6%
Opp TOV% 16.6% 16.0%
DRB% 71.2% 71.3%
Opp FT Rate 19.3% 22.3%

Game Analysis

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