Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | COLO +195 TTU -238 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +2 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | TTU -6.2 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.1 (-20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -4.7 (+2.7) | 156.3 (-12.3) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -3.9 (+1.9) | 154.0 (-10.0) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -3.8 (+1.8) | 155.1 (-11.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -5.6 (+3.6) | 156.6 (-12.6) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | TTU 78 – 44 COLO |
| Mar 6, 2025 | TTU 91 – 75 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-5 | 14-2 |
| Away | 2-8 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.2 | 80.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 73.1 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#82) | 17.4 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#49) | 3.20 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.49 (#54) | 4.08 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#56) | 0.657 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 32.2% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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