Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | TTU -1350 COLO +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +34 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -13.0 (+21.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.6 (-39.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -12.9 (+21.1) | 152.6 (-30.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -12.2 (+21.8) | 157.9 (-35.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -12.2 (+21.8) | 156.8 (-34.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -12.4 (+21.6) | 158.5 (-36.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | TTU 73 – 71 COLO |
| Mar 6, 2025 | TTU 91 – 75 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-2 | 13-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.3 | 80.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 79.8 |
| Massey | 18.1 (#22) | 8.1 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.42 (#14) | 1.46 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.15 (#18) | 2.09 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.648 (#8) | 0.541 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 1.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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