Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | TTU -6000 COLO +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +16 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -17.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+22.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -14.4 (+1.6) | 142.3 (+23.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -15.4 (+0.6) | 143.5 (+22.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -15.7 (+0.3) | 141.1 (+24.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -16.9 (-0.9) | 140.7 (+25.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | TTU 78 – 44 COLO |
| Jan 11, 2026 | TTU 73 – 71 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 14-21 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 3-17 |
| Home | 15-3 | 11-7 |
| Away | 8-2 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 20.1 (#8) | 5.9 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#25) | 0.63 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.72 (#17) | 0.80 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#38) | 0.478 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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