Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | ELON -205 CAM +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +1 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | ELON -7.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ELON -5.4 (-4.4) | 155.7 (+9.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -4.1 (-3.1) | 156.9 (+8.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -4.1 (-3.1) | 158.0 (+7.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -4.3 (-3.3) | 157.0 (+8.0) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2025 | CAM 76 – 58 ELON |
| Jan 14, 2025 | ELON 81 – 68 CAM |
| Feb 2, 2024 | CAM 69 – 67 ELON |
| Jan 25, 2024 | CAM 78 – 68 ELON |
| Dec 16, 2020 | ELON 66 – 56 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-8 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#150) | -2.6 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#153) | 0.44 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#153) | 0.43 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#132) | 0.530 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 34.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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