And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
Coastal Athletic Association · John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center · January 25, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread CAM -1.5 Home covered
O/U 143.5 Over
Money CAM -125 / ELON +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total CAM win
Actual CAM +10 146 Won
Massey CAM -3.2 (+6.8)
Massey Totals 140.8 (+5.2)
Bradley-Terry 58%
Weighted B-T 60%
Efficiency Plus ML CAM -2.0 (+8.0) 139.3 (+6.7) 60%
Baseline Tuned ML CAM -1.3 (+8.7) 138.0 (+8.0) 61%
Baseline ML CAM -1.9 (+8.1) 139.6 (+6.4) 59%
Baseline Plus ML CAM -1.3 (+8.7) 138.1 (+7.9) 61%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 11, 2026 ELON 8382 CAM
Feb 7, 2025 CAM 7658 ELON
Jan 14, 2025 ELON 8168 CAM
Feb 2, 2024 CAM 6967 ELON
Dec 16, 2020 ELON 6656 CAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CAM ELON
Overall 14-18 13-19
Conference 8-10 6-12
Home 11-6 8-6
Away 3-11 3-11
Neutral 0-1 2-2
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 69.0 70.3
Avg Pts Against 73.9 76.2
Massey -9.0 (#314) -8.5 (#305)
Bradley-Terry -1.62 (#317) -1.26 (#288)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.05 (#314) -1.69 (#299)
RPI 0.398 (#333) 0.435 (#286)
Shooting & Four Factors CAM ELON
FG% 43.1% 43.6%
3PT% 30.8% 36.7%
REB / G 31.6 33.5
OREB / G 7.4 10.3
AST / TO 0.89 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.8% 51.3%
TOV% 19.1% 17.6%
ORB% 23.6% 29.6%
FT Rate 26.5% 23.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.9% 53.8%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 14.6%
DRB% 68.6% 67.7%
Opp FT Rate 17.7% 25.0%

Game Analysis

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