You have to let that raga drop. "Rock the Casbah" - The Clash
Coastal Athletic Association · Schar Center · January 14, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread ELON -7.5 Home covered
O/U 138.5 Over
Money ELON -360 / CAM +280
Model Predictions
Spread Total ELON win
Actual ELON +13 149 Won
Massey ELON -10.9 (+2.1)
Massey Totals 133.6 (+15.4)
Bradley-Terry 92%
Weighted B-T 92%
Efficiency Plus ML ELON -7.9 (+5.1) 136.6 (+12.4) 79%
Baseline Tuned ML ELON -8.7 (+4.3) 134.6 (+14.4) 82%
Baseline ML ELON -8.9 (+4.1) 134.7 (+14.3) 80%
Baseline Plus ML ELON -8.9 (+4.1) 134.2 (+14.8) 80%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 11, 2026 ELON 8382 CAM
Feb 7, 2025 CAM 7658 ELON
Feb 2, 2024 CAM 6967 ELON
Jan 25, 2024 CAM 7868 ELON
Dec 16, 2020 ELON 6656 CAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ELON CAM
Overall 17-16 15-17
Conference 8-10 10-8
Home 10-4 8-6
Away 6-9 7-10
Neutral 1-3 0-1
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L5 L5
Avg Pts For 71.5 68.9
Avg Pts Against 70.9 69.3
Massey 1.6 (#138) -5.5 (#259)
Bradley-Terry 0.22 (#153) -1.48 (#302)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.30 (#147) -1.40 (#272)
RPI 0.512 (#151) 0.427 (#302)
Shooting & Four Factors ELON CAM
FG% 42.9% 41.7%
3PT% 31.7% 32.0%
REB / G 41.5 29.8
OREB / G 13.3 7.4
AST / TO 1.01 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.5% 48.5%
TOV% 18.9% 16.8%
ORB% 39.0% 22.0%
FT Rate 29.8% 26.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.5% 54.2%
Opp TOV% 12.5% 18.9%
DRB% 69.1% 72.3%
Opp FT Rate 15.9% 21.3%

Game Analysis

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