Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | RICH -340 JOES +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JOES +2 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | RICH -13.5 (-15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (-22.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -12.4 (-14.4) | 151.3 (-19.3) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -8.9 (-10.9) | 151.2 (-19.2) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -10.9 (-12.9) | 148.6 (-16.6) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -11.6 (-13.6) | 148.7 (-16.7) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | JOES 78 – 62 RICH |
| Mar 14, 2024 | JOES 66 – 61 RICH |
| Mar 7, 2024 | RICH 73 – 66 JOES |
| Mar 2, 2023 | JOES 83 – 67 RICH |
| Dec 31, 2021 | JOES 83 – 56 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#107) | -5.0 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#107) | -0.52 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#98) | -1.07 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#118) | 0.476 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 39.5% | 26.8% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 31.7% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.