Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | USI +180 UTM -218 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +17 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | UTM -7.3 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -6.3 (-10.7) | 136.3 (-7.3) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -7.4 (-9.6) | 133.1 (-4.1) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -7.2 (-9.8) | 133.0 (-4.0) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -6.9 (-10.1) | 135.6 (-6.6) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UTM 76 – 54 USI |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UTM 79 – 63 USI |
| Dec 21, 2024 | UTM 77 – 46 USI |
| Feb 16, 2024 | UTM 77 – 68 USI |
| Jan 28, 2023 | UTM 86 – 83 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USI | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 13-7 |
| Home | 3-10 | 12-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 64.7 |
| Massey | -12.3 (#334) | -1.5 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.30 (#355) | 0.47 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.90 (#351) | 0.12 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.328 (#364) | 0.509 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USI | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 31.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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