Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | UTM -350 USI +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +9 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | UTM -10.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (-10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -9.8 (-0.8) | 150.7 (-5.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -7.5 (+1.5) | 150.3 (-5.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -9.1 (-0.1) | 149.0 (-4.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -9.0 (-0.0) | 150.8 (-5.8) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UTM 76 – 54 USI |
| Jan 11, 2026 | UTM 73 – 56 USI |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UTM 79 – 63 USI |
| Dec 21, 2024 | UTM 77 – 46 USI |
| Jan 28, 2023 | UTM 86 – 83 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | USI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-2 | 5-10 |
| Away | 9-7 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.5 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#230) | -10.6 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#187) | -2.41 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#212) | -2.84 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#167) | 0.402 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | USI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 35.3% |
Game Analysis
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