Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 173.5 Under |
| Money | CSUF -120 CSUN +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +7 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | CSUF -5.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 177.3 (-12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -2.5 (+4.5) | 165.7 (-0.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -4.1 (+2.9) | 164.4 (+0.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -2.7 (+4.3) | 163.6 (+1.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -3.8 (+3.2) | 166.3 (-1.3) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CSUF 90 – 77 CSUN |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CSUN 82 – 63 CSUF |
| Jan 3, 2025 | CSUN 95 – 65 CSUF |
| Feb 25, 2024 | CSUN 65 – 60 CSUF |
| Jan 13, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 71 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-10 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.3 | 80.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.2 | 81.3 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#198) | -3.5 (#223) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#197) | 0.03 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#181) | -0.26 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#168) | 0.502 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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