Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | CSUF -120 CSUN +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +5 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUF -2.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (-17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -0.6 (-5.6) | 142.3 (-17.3) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -1.4 (-6.4) | 140.4 (-15.4) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -0.9 (-5.9) | 141.6 (-16.6) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -0.5 (-5.5) | 142.0 (-17.0) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CSUF 90 – 77 CSUN |
| Jan 11, 2026 | CSUF 86 – 79 CSUN |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CSUN 82 – 63 CSUF |
| Jan 3, 2025 | CSUN 95 – 65 CSUF |
| Jan 13, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 71 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 9-11 |
| Home | 7-7 | 9-7 |
| Away | 6-10 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#242) | -2.9 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#232) | -0.11 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#241) | -0.32 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#212) | 0.475 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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