Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | CSUF +165 CSUN -195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +30 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUN -6.1 (-23.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -6.3 (-23.7) | 143.0 (+17.0) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -6.9 (-23.1) | 142.3 (+17.7) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -7.3 (-22.7) | 140.6 (+19.4) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -6.3 (-23.7) | 141.0 (+19.0) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CSUF 90 – 77 CSUN |
| Jan 11, 2026 | CSUF 86 – 79 CSUN |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CSUN 82 – 63 CSUF |
| Feb 25, 2024 | CSUN 65 – 60 CSUF |
| Jan 13, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 71 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 14-6 |
| Home | 4-11 | 10-3 |
| Away | 2-15 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L12 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.3 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#291) | 3.1 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#305) | 0.63 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.15 (#302) | 0.61 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#286) | 0.489 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.2% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 37.6% |
Game Analysis
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