Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN -2500 CSUF +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +19 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | CSUN -17.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -15.7 (+3.3) | 146.5 (-1.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -13.9 (+5.1) | 144.7 (+0.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -14.4 (+4.6) | 148.1 (-3.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -15.1 (+3.9) | 147.7 (-2.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CSUF 90 – 77 CSUN |
| Jan 11, 2026 | CSUF 86 – 79 CSUN |
| Jan 3, 2025 | CSUN 95 – 65 CSUF |
| Feb 25, 2024 | CSUN 65 – 60 CSUF |
| Jan 13, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 71 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 1-19 |
| Home | 10-3 | 4-11 |
| Away | 10-7 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.5 | 62.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#107) | -10.6 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#114) | -1.73 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#121) | -2.19 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#139) | 0.430 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 31.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.6% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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