Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 170.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN -245 CSUF +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +13 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUN -4.0 (-17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.6 (-5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -3.1 (-16.1) | 161.8 (+5.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -6.1 (-19.1) | 160.2 (+6.8) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -2.9 (-15.9) | 160.3 (+6.7) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -3.0 (-16.0) | 160.6 (+6.4) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | CSUF 86 – 79 CSUN |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CSUN 82 – 63 CSUF |
| Jan 3, 2025 | CSUN 95 – 65 CSUF |
| Feb 25, 2024 | CSUN 65 – 60 CSUF |
| Jan 13, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 71 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.6 | 80.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.3 | 82.2 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#181) | -2.0 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#138) | -0.03 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#156) | -0.01 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#127) | 0.506 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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